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Market analysis

Bitcoin risk indicator

A reading from 0 (the price is far below its long-term average) to 1 (far above it), built from the price of Bitcoin against its 400-day average. It shows where the price stands in its cycle; it does not predict the next move.

Today: 0.34 (fairly low).

Low readings (under 0.4) mean the price is below its long-term average; high readings (above 0.7) mean it is stretched above it. Past cycles are not a guide to the next one.

0.00.30.50.81.0Oct 2024Jun 2025Feb 2026Oct 2026

Source: daily Bitcoin prices from Yahoo Finance. Last two years shown.

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